Slow Down: The Degrowth Manifesto

Socialism or barbarism or … social democracy with a mature acceptance of limits to growth? That’s the question posed by Kohei Saito’s provocative new best-seller.

by Philip Cafaro

Let me admit right up front that I’m a little jealous. As a philosophy professor who’s written a few books but no best sellers (yet!), I can’t help feeling envious of Kohei Saito’s phenomenal success: half a million copies of Slow Down: The Degrowth Manifesto sold in Japan alone, doubtless with many more to follow now that the book has been translated into English.

A review of Slow Down The Degrowth Manifesto by Kohei Saito

Still, I don’t begrudge him his success, because Saito’s book does what philosophy does at its best: help people think more clearly and deeply about important issues. In this case, it is perhaps the most important issue facing contemporary societies: how to create economies that don’t destroy our home planet.

That’s not to say Saito’s answers to this question are all correct; here in this space two weeks ago, Madeline Weld provided trenchant criticisms of Saito’s preferred approach of “degrowth communism.” But Saito lays out the issues clearly and honestly, with minimal jargon. So whether you agree with him or not, you can profit by reading his book and trying to specify your own preferred alternatives.

The book’s first three chapters (of eight) diagnose the problem and explain the insufficiencies of the most common approaches to dealing with it. Economic growth is overwhelming the Earth, threatening a climate catastrophe and other environmental disasters. Technological fixes to ameliorate these environmental problems and accommodate more growth cannot work—so neoliberalism with a side order of green technology is not the way forward. But neither is a Green New Deal or similar efforts to generate “green growth”: more wealth with less environmental impact. Economic growth, itself, is the primary problem. We must end growth and in fact shrink the size of our economies to have any hope of avoiding environmental disaster.

Pause, for a moment, and consider that for the first time in fifty years, a book arguing for an end to growth has become an international best seller. Half a million Japanese people, citizens of one of the wealthiest and most technologically advanced nations on Earth, have thoughtfully considered the possibility that ending growth is indispensable to creating a better world. That fact gives me hope.

Capitalism is the problem

Growth must end to avoid environmental disaster. But, says Saito, capitalism demands growth: we can no more imagine capitalism without a commitment to growth than we can draw a round triangle. So, like green growth, degrowth capitalism, of the sort advocated by Kate Raworth or Herman Daly, is an illusion. Degrowth is the answer, but it cannot be achieved within a capitalist economic structure, where degrowth can only manifest itself as stagnation, recession, depression. Hence we need to explore socialist alternatives.

In chapter four, “Marx in the Anthropocene,” Saito develops an argument that in his later writings, Karl Marx rejected his earlier “productivist” vision of subjugating nature through industry and generating ever-greater wealth to benefit humanity. Instead, says Saito, this late Marx advocated a less “Eurocentric” vision of humanity fitting into Nature’s cycles and preserving its fruitfulness, spending less time on securing economic goods and more on living well, through creativity, attentiveness to interpersonal relationships, and the like.

Saito is an accomplished Marx scholar. I’m not. Still, this chapter seems to me the weakest in the book, trying to make Marx something he’s not — unnecessarily. For in the second half of the book, Saito develops his own alternative of “degrowth communism” in sufficient detail to stand on its own. I think it’s better to skip discussion of whether or not it is true to Marx or traditional socialist thought, and ask the more pertinent question: is it the way forward toward the best human future?

Degrowth communism is the answer

In the second half of Slow Down, Saito lays out his own approach in detail. Contemporary capitalism generates unprecedented economic productivity but also ever more pervasive scarcity. Most of its benefits are funneled to a wealthy minority, while the advertising industry manufactures artificial wants that keep workers working long hours. Personal relations and communal solidarity atrophy, public wealth (real wealth, in Saito’s view) is sacrificed to private wealth, and the well-being of most people declines.

A more egalitarian, more secure, less materialistic and less harried socio-economic system is possible, Saito believes. But it will have to be built primarily through grassroots efforts, not top-down mandates and centralized government control. This puts a premium on social solidarity and voluntary sharing as the motive forces behind economic organization. Saito thus disagrees equally with conventional economic thought, built around “rational self-interest” as people’s prime economic motivator, and with dictatorial 20th century communist regimes in which all important economic decisions were imposed from on high.

Instead, Saito proposes a “communism” focused on small-scale, communal decision-making regarding economic production. Good examples are worker-owned businesses and producers co-operatives. Saito envisions ever larger sectors of the modern economy transitioning away from large corporate domination. In the case of essential services, such as food, housing and energy provisioning, his plea for economic reorganization is backed by the moral claim that access to such services are rights that should be guaranteed. A key (yet debatable) claim is that such guarantees will be more secure with production in the hands of public cooperatives rather than private producers. Meanwhile, Saito envisions unnecessary sectors of the economy, such as stock speculation, corporate consulting and advertising, withering away, along with the “bullshit jobs” they provide.

Consumption promoted by capitalism or finding meaning in cooperation?

This withering away of unnecessary sectors of the economy is one important way in which overall economic activity can shrink, providing the environmental payoff needed for genuine sustainability. Saito hopes that this will occur in large part through voluntary consumer restraint (another important and questionable position). As people’s basic needs are met, they will feel secure, and fill the majority of their time with creative and enjoyable activities, rather than piling up superfluous wealth or possessions. This will not occur through “climate Maoism,” frugality for everyone, enforced from the top down, but freely. In a similar way, communal decision-making among producers will lead to business decisions that further social and environmental well-being, not maximal production or profit.

Saito’s vision is not completely voluntaristic and bottom-up; he explicitly rejects anarchism and acknowledges the continued need for national governments to provide policy guidance and coordination. But his preference is to maximize local control in decision-making. And he has faith that freed from the shackles of artificial capitalist scarcity, people will choose social solidarity and ecological sanity, leading to a better world.

Or perhaps degrowth social democracy

I’m generally in agreement with Saito’s diagnosis of the problem, but skeptical of his proposed solutions — at least as the primary path to dealing with the problem. Growing economic inequality and ecological overshoot demand we reform our economies in line with greater social solidarity (including solidarity with other species, something Saito ignores). These reforms must incorporate limits to growth. So far so good.

But realistically, the primary tool for achieving all this must be powerful national governments. They are the necessary counterweight to the economic power of corporations and wealthy individuals, both currently and in any future we may reasonably envision, at least any future with billions of people on the planet.

There is value in the kinds of grassroots economic organization Saito emphasizes; think of the role unions have played in ensuring workers a fairer share of societies’ wealth. But these grassroots efforts and the solidarity they rely on find further outlet in government programs to guarantee health care, old age pensions, mandatory vacation time and parental leaves, and the like; also in laws and policies that protect the power of unions to continue their good work. All this is clear from the history of the past hundred years of European social democracies — the most successful real-world examples we have of sharing wealth and enacting strong environmental laws to protect nature from the excesses of human economic activities.

The main alternative to “degrowth communism,” then — assuming that we must have an end to growth — is degrowth social democracy, with strong national governments serving the common people, not the wealthy or corporate interests. Because degrowth will entail real sacrifice and common people will not make such sacrifices while the rich lord it over them, mandatory limits on the luxury consumption of the 1% must be a prominent part of the overall effort. Social solidarity must be manifested, in part, by citizens willingly limiting their own pursuit of wealth and curbing their own unnecessary consumption — while assuaging some of the pain of this by forcing even more sacrifices by the rich.

Real sacrifice is unavoidable

Saito elides this problem of real sacrifice by overstating how much a shift to degrowth communism will make people happier, with increased solidarity making up for decreased consumption. “Capitalism creates scarcity,” he claims, an insatiable hankering after “more,” while socialism creates abundance. Here he borrows heavily from another degrowth theorist, Giorgos Kallis, who rings many changes on the theme to show (supposedly) that older views about limits are outmoded. In both cases, the claim is that a society whose members genuinely care about one another and organize their economy around social solidarity can painlessly reduce economic activity and achieve sustainability. As Kallis puts it, they will remain within limits without worrying about limits, living with a feeling of abundance, and thus with no need to pile up materialistic superfluities.

I think this is way overstated. It assumes societies composed of philosophers and sages, not normal people with conventional desires for material comfort and well-being, and status. Its leaders are not Macrons, driven around in limousines while telling the commoners to take buses, and its citizens are not gilets jaunes, who notice.

This approach also ignores how much humanity’s current ecological problems are a function of our success, not our failure. Contemporary capitalism may exacerbate the itch for more, increasing feelings of scarcity among well-off people in the developed world. But in recent decades, it has lifted billions in the developing world into a modestly prosperous “global consuming class,” doing much to lock in global ecological overshoot even further. Meanwhile, capitalism, somewhat tamed by social democratic policies to redistribute wealth and limit the environmental damages of industrial production, continues to provide comfortable lives to a billion people in wealthier, developed nations.

Getting all these people to fly and drive less, eat less meat or less exotic globally-sourced foods, etc. etc., will not happen purely voluntarily. It will only happen (if it happens at all) when citizens’ representatives democratically pass laws to limit consumption and production, in order to protect essential ecosystem services and promote the common good. The only feasible path forward involves shared sacrifice, organized and regulated through the mechanisms of powerful national governments, supplemented by binding international treaties. Or so it seems to me.

What about population?

Of course, all this is a tall order. That’s why it’s important to bend the demographic curve more rapidly downward and work toward fewer people globally. In the countries where population is already declining, it’s the one major trend working in favor of smaller economies, and the one capitalists and their lackeys are most concerned to reverse. So it is perverse that contemporary degrowth advocates, by and large, ignore the issue, talking as if human numbers play no role in decreasing the size of our economies.

Saito barely mentions population in his book. This is a striking omission, given the role population “stagnation” has played in slowing Japan’s economic growth in recent decades (while its per capita wealth grew as fast as most). Bringing in population matters would have made Saito’s analysis more realistic. To whit:

* It is unrealistic to imagine eight billion people, or more, living sustainably without strong centralized governments to set limits to their economic activities.

* It is unrealistic to imagine all humanity sitting nicely inside Kate Raworth’s donut ring of “safe space,” between unhappy want and ecological overshoot, without limiting our numbers.

* It is unrealistic to focus on every material aspect of overshoot except the most important one: the sheer number of people that is driving all of them.

The upshot

“Capitalism is the problem,” Kohei Saito says more than once. But the fundamental problem is excessive human economic activity. How much of this can we expect fallible human beings to willingly give up? A realistic answer suggests we will have to limit our numbers as part of the larger effort to create sustainable societies.

Still, degrowth advocates are right: fundamental economic reorganization will also be necessary to achieve real sustainability. So must greater social solidarity and some form of increased regulation of capitalist businesses. While I disagree with much of what it proposes, Slow Down is a searching and sincere attempt to specify a way through humanity’s current ecological impasse. I encourage you to read this important new book.

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17 responses to “Slow Down: The Degrowth Manifesto”

  1. Tom hirton Avatar

    Great column phil i ve ordered the book

  2. Aroop Mangalik Avatar

    Thanks for bringing the issue of Capitalism in the battle against Overpopulation
    Aroop Mangalik

    1. PHILIP CAFARO Avatar

      I don’t think we can ignore it Aroop. Humanity could cut our population in half and still destroy the biosphere. We need a new economic paradigm.

      1. gaiabaracetti Avatar

        Have you read William Morris’ “News from nowhere”? One of the funnest, prettiest utopias ever (though I actually haven’t read many…). Apparently he was very influential in Britain.

  3. gaiabaracetti Avatar

    I wonder what a de-growther can do with half a million dollars from book sales plus a professor’s salary, without betraying his own philosophy!

    I’m surprised everyone’s acting like this is a first, though. Serge Latouche might be fringe, but still relatively well-known, and he’s been writing this sort of stuff for quite a while now. Same problem though: refusing to acknowledge overpopulation. It comes from wanting to belong to the left and be liked by them.

    I think you are idealising European social democracies. It’s a decent system, but still unequal and with a very big impact on the environment due to high levels of consumption. Maybe we don’t have a better one, but I also believe in localising political and economic power as much as possible. It’s not incompatible with a strong government in some areas.

    I think you keep being skeptical for no reason about how much better life is while consuming less. I see most people around me being pretty miserable and always unhappy with what they’ve got, because someone else has more. Many even stop being good parents/friends/citizens because they are so focused on earning and spending. It’s clear it’s not the road to happiness.
    I know it’s hard to convince people of that, but you don’t even need to – if we really start redistributing wealth from the top down (going way beyond the 1%, though), people won’t even have the inspiration for the insane levels of consumption that seem normal today. Flying to warm countries every winter for a quick vacation? Buying new clothes *all the time*? Living in mansions that we constantly need to pay people to “declutter”? Strawberries all year long?? We’ll forget these things are even possible, once we stop seeing people do them so much. Humanity was fine for most of its history without them. Luxury is very relative.

    1. gaiabaracetti Avatar

      Oh, not to mention that luxury spending is often structural and government-driven. You don’t need to tell people to stop flying, or skiing, or eating so much meat. You withdraw the massive subsidies to those things, and they became much less affordable overnight.

      1. PHILIP CAFARO Avatar

        Yes, but you need to convince your fellow citizens that governments should stop subsidizing flying or skiing or eating meat. Also, somehow, convince the elites that their high-end consumption does not improve their status, or that improved status is unimportant. But people tend to be drawn to overconsumption, and tend to want to prevail in status competitions, rather than seeing the foolishness or futility of them.

        I think we bump up against human nature here. Which is another reason for wanting fewer humans.

    2. PHILIP CAFARO Avatar

      What can a degrowther do with a big pile of money without betraying his philosophy? Good question! I would suggest give it to a land trust to help set aside more land for wildlife. Or burn it.

      I admit it; I idealize European social democracies. Sure there is some economic inequality, but I don’t think justice demands perfect equality, and there is enough economic equality and security so that most Europeans who don’t go out of their way to screw up their own lives can live pretty well. It’s true that contemporary Europeans consume at high levels, relative to the developing world and your own historical levels, but again, that’s a function of your economic success. And you look positively abstemious compared to Americans.

      Gaia, I’m with you on the benefits of cutting back on consumption and on focusing on more important things that piling up wealth. I’m less certain that redistributing from the more to the less wealthy will help us get less consumption overall.

      1. gaiabaracetti Avatar

        Have you read this? I admit I haven’t (yet), but I hopefully will soon: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Theory_of_the_Leisure_Class
        I think it’s one answer to the question.
        As for overall consumption, there are so many variables. One, as I’ve said, is imitation – and you cannot imitate what doesn’t exist. The richer some people get, the more others want to be like them. The whole business of “influencing” is about this.
        Another is abstention – when you start living without something, often, though not always, you stop wanting it. Obviously there are exceptions, but there are many people who go vegan, celibate, sober, stop flying, women who stop wearing make up or heels, whatever, and never want to go back. I’m not saying such things should be enforced, but people should be given the option to give up things and still have a decent life.
        Also, less overall consumption is happening whether we like it or not, due to fossil fuel and other resources depletion. It will be a matter of how to share the burden of that, so we will need to redistribute regardless.

  4. gaiabaracetti Avatar

    Philip, you always bring out the issue of “convincing” people, but that’s not how it works. Reality does have hard limits no matter what we want, and expenditure is a choice and a policy, not the consequence of a spontaneous desire.
    In Italy, for example, we used to have good quality universal healthcare. It’s falling apart and people are having to pay out of their pockets or go without. In the meanwhile, subsidies go to all sorts of forms of consumption such as cars, houses, holidays… Any politician who took money from that and gave it to the hospitals and made a big deal out of it would be popular and get votes, but they don’t do that because the private healthcare lobby has become very powerful.
    In Northern Europe, for example, people are happy to pay a lot of taxes because they feel that they get good quality essential services in return. They prefer riding a bike and saving money on gas and having daycare for their kids, as opposed to the other way round. It’s aspirational, more than the cut-throat wasteful society that America appears to be, seen from here, where if you get hurt and you’re poor you’re screwed.
    This is just one example among many. We do have a democracy, but it’s imperfect. People consume not only, or not so much, because they naturally desire to, but because we live in a system in which consumption is almost forced on you. There are so many ways you can go about this, but the issue of just “telling” people they shouldn’t enjoy this or that ignores both how societies and how material reality work. And why people want certain things in the first place. It sounds to me like the assumptions of basic economic theories, that sound very neat and eternal but do not actually represent how life works, and are ultimately a product, not a cause, of the capitalist, market, individualist system we are criticising here.

  5. Barbara (Bea) Jean Rogers Avatar

    Japan has a history of very successful co-operatives, which would make the book land especially well there. Co-operative working and consumption is very positive, and we could do much to expand it in other countries. Not the whole solution, perhaps, but potentially important.

    1. gaiabaracetti Avatar

      Indigenous and small-town rural societies are instinctively cooperative. People also used to be a lot more self-sufficient for most human history. Relying on markets and governments for everything is a recent phenomenon.

  6. Jack Avatar

    I will get this book as having studied this issue over 30 years one cannot get enough information. To me, the biggest problem is human frailty. They are quick to blame others and almost never accept responsibility for their actions. A new Netflix video; “You are what you eat” describes a Stanford University experiment using 21 sets of twins. It’s a 4 part series and is both very entertaining and scary. Part shows how cattle ranches in the Amazon is leading to more and more slash and burn to increase grazing land. Now we are hearing of huge forest fires in the Amazon and the cause is the slash and burn system. However, there is no mention this is done to raise cattle. Even if there’s irrefutable evidence people will not let go of their destructive lifestyles even at the cost of their progeny. Here, in our state the minority party has managed to scuttle our governors attempt to pass bills to fund climate change needs. When push comes to shove people blame the politicians Politicians who are able to deflect blame to the other side are those that survive. In Europe that is much easier (I lived in Europe 16+ years). Unfortunately, Europe had to go through a major war to finally wake up.. Will that be our lot!?

  7. David Polewka Avatar

    DID I MISS ANYTHING?
    Alcoholics and Addicts’ Behavioral Tool Kit:
    1. Play the blame game 2. Tell lies 3. Call names
    4. Put words in mouth. 5. Put spin on it.
    6. Change the subject. 7. Play dumb. 8. Be sarcastic.
    9. Get angry. 10. Make threats. 11. Get violent.

  8. NoSecret Avatar

    Marx:

    * Bevölkerungsgesetz / Populationsgesetz der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise

    Es gibt ein Bevölkerungsgesetz der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise:
    Die Akkumulation von Kapital führt zu einer wachsenden Nachfrage nach Arbeitskräften/Personen und Verbrauchern.

    * Produktion von Lohnarbeitern + Arbeitslosen und Konsumenten -> Überbevölkerung:

    Karl Marx; Das Kapital MEW 23
    DREIUNDZWANZIGSTES KAPITEL

    Das allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation 640

    1. Wachsende Nachfrage nach Arbeitskraft mit der Akkumulation .. 640
    3. Progressive Produktion einer relativen Übervölkerung oder industriellen Reservearmee 657
    4. Verschiedene Existenzformen der relativen Übervölkerung 670

    Populationsgesetz der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise (meine Interpretation):

    Die Akkumulation benötigt ein *absolut* immer größeres, “atmendes” (Marx) Quantum an Lohnarbeitern und Arbeitslosen, *die durch den Akkumulationsprozeß selbst* produziert werden.

    Die steigende Produktivität (absoluter Mehrwert) in Landwirtschaft und Industrie ermöglicht die Versorgung einer beständig wachsenden Bevölkerung und damit wiederum einen beständig sich steigernden Akkumulationsprozess.

    Dies ist das absolute, allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation: 674

    Je größer der gesellschaftliche Reichtum, das funktionierende Kapital, Umfang und Energie seines Wachstums, also auch die absolute Größe des Proletariats und die Produktivkraft seiner Arbeit, desto größer die industrielle Reservearmee. Die disponible Arbeitskraft wird durch dieselben Ursachen entwickelt wie die Expansivkraft des Kapitals. Die verhältnismäßige Größe der industriellen Reservearmee wächst also mit den Potenzen des Reichtums. Je größer aber diese Reservearmee im Verhältnis zur aktiven Arbeiterarmee, desto massenhafter die konsolidierte Übervölkerung, deren Elend im umgekehrten Verhältnis zu ihrer Arbeitsqual steht. Je größer endlich die Lazarusschicht der Arbeiterklasse und die industrielle Reservearmee, desto größer der offizielle Pauperismus. 673

    * Exzerpte und Bemerkungen aus Marx, Das Kapital, MEW 23 zu Populationsgesetz, Bevölkerungsgesetz

    Inhaltsverzeichnis

    1. Wachsende Nachfrage nach Arbeitskraft mit der Akkumulation, bei gleichbleibender Zusammensetzung des Kapitals .

    Populationsgesetz der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise:
    Akkumulation des Kapitals ist wachsende Nachfrage nach Arbeitskraft
    Akkumulation des Kapitals ist Vermehrung des Proletariats

    3. Progressive Produktion einer relativen Übervölkerung oder industriellen Reservearmee 657

    Mit der durch sie selbst produzierten Akkumulation des Kapitals produziert die Arbeiterbevölkerung also in wachsendem Umfang die Mittel ihrer eignen relativen Überzähligmachung.79 Es ist dies ein der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise eigentümliches Populationsgesetz, wie in der Tat jede besondre historische Produktionsweise ihre besondren, historisch gültigen Populationsgesetze hat. Ein abstraktes Populationsgesetz existiert nur für Pflanze und Tier, soweit der Mensch nicht geschichtlich eingreift.

    Selbst Malthus erkennt in der Übervölkerung, die er, nach seiner bornierten Weise, aus absolutem Überwuchs der Arbeiterbevölkerung, nicht aus ihrer relativen Überzähligmachung deutet, eine Notwendigkeit der modernen Industrie.

    Malthus (nach Marx):
    Übervölkerung eine Notwendigkeit der modernen Industrie
    = absolutes Wachstum (nach Maltus), nicht relative Überzähligmachung (wie es nach Marx richtig wäre)

    Der kapitalistischen Produktion genügt keineswegs das Quantum disponibler Arbeitskraft, welches der natürliche Zuwachs der Bevölkerung liefert. Sie bedarf zu ihrem freien Spiel einer von dieser Naturschranke unabhängigen industriellen Reservearmee.

    Quantum disponibler Arbeitskraft, welches der natürliche Zuwachs der Bevölkerung liefert, genügt nicht.
    Die kapitalistische Produktion bedarf zu ihrem freien Spiel einer von dieser Naturschranke unabhängigen industriellen Reservearmee = relativen Übervölkerung.
    Nun ja:
    absoluter natürlicher Zuwachs der Bevölkerung
    absoluter Zuwachs der Bevölkerung durch kapitalistische Produktion und Konsumtion
    Bildung einer relativen Übervölkerung = industrielle Reservearmee

    Wie wichtig dies Moment in der Bildung der relativen Übervölkerung, beweist z.B. England. Seine technischen Mittel zur „Ersparung” von Arbeit sind kolossal. Dennoch, würde morgen allgemein die Arbeit auf ein rationelles Maß beschränkt und für die verschiednen Schichten der Arbeiterklasse wieder entsprechend nach Alter und Geschlecht abgestuft, so wäre die vorhandne Arbeiterbevölkerung absolut unzureichend zur Fortführung der nationalen Produktion auf ihrer jetzigen Stufenleiter. Die große Mehrheit der jetzt „unproduktiven” Arbeiter müßte in „produktive” verwandelt werden.

    dies Moment = ?
    vorhandne Arbeiterbevölkerung = Lohnarbeiter > (+ Arbeitslose = Gesamtbevölkerung)
    die jetzt „unproduktiven” Arbeiter (= Arbeitslose) müßte in „produktive” (= Lohnarbeiter) verwandelt werden

    Dies ist das absolute, allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation: 674

    Je größer der gesellschaftliche Reichtum, das funktionierende Kapital, Umfang und Energie seines Wachstums, also auch die absolute Größe des Proletariats und die Produktivkraft seiner Arbeit, desto größer die industrielle Reservearmee. Die disponible Arbeitskraft wird durch dieselben Ursachen entwickelt wie die Expansivkraft des Kapitals. Die verhältnismäßige Größe der industriellen Reservearmee wächst also mit den Potenzen des Reichtums. Je größer aber diese Reservearmee im Verhältnis zur aktiven Arbeiterarmee, desto massenhafter die konsolidierte Übervölkerung, deren Elend im umgekehrten Verhältnis zu ihrer Arbeitsqual steht. Je größer endlich die Lazarusschicht der Arbeiterklasse und die industrielle Reservearmee, desto größer der offizielle Pauperismus. 673

    4. Verschiedene Existenzformen der relativen Übervölkerung.
    Das allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation

    Die relative Übervölkerung existiert .. fortwährend drei Formen: flüssige, latente und stockende.
    Daß der natürliche Zuwachs der Arbeitermasse die Akkumulationsbedürfnisse des Kapitals nicht sättigt und sie dennoch zugleich überschreitet, ist ein Widerspruch seiner Bewegung selbst.
    Je größer endlich die Lazarusschichte der Arbeiterklasse und die industrielle Reservearmee, desto größer der offizielle Pauperismus. Dies ist das absolute, allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation.

    Der natürliche Zuwachs der Arbeitermasse genügt nicht und ist doch zuviel > Bildung industrielle Reservearmee
    Das absolute, allgemeine Gesetz der kapitalistischen Akkumulation:
    je größer die Arbeiterschicht und die industrielle Reservearmee desto größer die Armut

    Grundrisse:
    In den “Grundrissen” wird das Populationsgesetz ausführlicher im Detail diskutiert.
    Dort weist Marx darauf hin, daß Populationsentwicklung immer im Zusammenhang mit den ökonomischen Verhältnissen = Produktionsweise, zu betrachten ist, wenn man die Ursachen erforschen will. Insofern gibt es kein allgemeines Populationsgesetz “an sich”, das durch abstrakte mathematische und statistische Modelle dargestellt werden kann, sofern es den Menschen (und auch alle Lebewesen) betrifft.
    Selbst in rein natürlichen Umgebungen, vom Menschen unbeeinflußt, gibt es externe Einflüsse, die die Entwicklung der Reproduktion eines Lebewesens bestimmen:

    Wechselbeziehungen zwischen Lebewesen die die Population bestimmen:
    Wechselbeziehungen zwischen Lebewesen, neben der Anpassung an die abiotischen Faktoren ihrer Umwelt spielen für die Organismen einer Biozönose auch die biotischen Interaktionen (Koevolution) mit anderen artverschiedenen Lebewesen ihrer Umwelt eine bedeutende Rolle und beeinflussen maßgeblich die Populationsdichte. Interaktionen, die vorteilhaft für eine Art sind, die andere aber schädigen, sind Prädation und Parasitismus, nachteilige Wirkung auf die Populationsdichte beider Arten hat die interspezifische Konkurrenz. Bei der Karpose einschließlich des Kommensalismus profitiert eine Art aus der Interaktion während die andere Art unbeeinflusst bleibt. Die Symbiose stellt eine Interaktion dar, bei der sich die Dichte jeder Art durch die Anwesenheit der anderen erhöht und somit für beide Arten positive Auswirkungen hat.
    https://www.spektrum.de/lexikon/biologie-kompakt/wechselbeziehungen-zwischen-lebewesen/12762

    * Rosling

    Superstar der Statistik, Hans Rosling, hat beispielhaft die rein mathematische Betrachtung der Populationsdynamik dargestellt:
    Why the world population won’t exceed 11 billion
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2LyzBoHo5EI
    https://www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/nachruf-superstar-der-statistik-1.3370412
    Er argumentiert unter Abstraktion von der jeweiligen historischen Produktionsweise

    * Partha Dasgupta:

    https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/people/emeritus/pd10000

    Population Overshoot; Aisha Dasgupta* and Partha Dasgupta 2018
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10640-021-00595-5
    https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1tyivSJFPpDbFs2BUwQzNoQ9cN_QmKkHY

    Regarding Optimum Population, Partha Dasgupta 2004

    Dasgupta: Time and the Generations: Population Ethics for a Diminishing Planet 2019

    Dasgupta 2020 Social dimensions of fertility behavior and consumption patterns in the Anthropocene
    https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1909857117

    *** Langer Rede kurzer Sinn ***

    Populationsgesetz der kapitalistischen Produktionsweise:

    Die Akkumulation benötigt ein
    absolut immer größeres
    atmendes Quantum an Lohnarbeitern und Arbeitslosen,
    die durch den Akkumulationsprozeß selbst produziert werden.

    Die steigende Produktivität (absoluter Mehrwert) in Landwirtschaft und Industrie ermöglicht die Versorgung einer beständig wachsenden Bevölkerung und damit wiederum einen beständig sich steigernden Akkumulationsprozess.

    Ein absolutes Ende des Bevölkerungswachstums kann absehbar nicht bestimmt werden.

    Robyn Archer performs “Supply And Demand” by Bertolt Brecht & Hans Eisler
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1UCE4jHQ-g

    Mal sehen, ob diese Gedanken ankommen oder verschwiegen werden.

  9. Kayanesa Avatar

    I have just read the book Slow Down and I will be upfront. I agreed with all the logic used to explain the current system of Capitalism and the proposed vision for the future we should be striving for. On that note I want to take a look at an argument made in the article here.

    “the primary tool for achieving all this must be powerful national governments. They are the necessary counterweight to the economic power of corporations and wealthy individuals, both currently and in any future we may reasonably envision, at least any future with billions of people on the planet.”

    While I agree that right now and while the population work on potential social movement to take place and shape up to bring about what the author called “social ownership” the influence of the current governments is the best tool in starting the process of controlling the effect and changing the system(Capitalist). But I disagree about giving and keeping strong power in the government.

    To explain my reason, first right now we have a chance to get government support in getting things to change for the simple reason that there is a need for said change felt by many that is created by the current climate crisis. From a psychological stand point human have proven themselves to be able to make many sacrifice and choices that would be unlikely in normal circumstance when faced with crisis even more so for a life threatening one.

    So in the situation we find our-self in right now it is possible that the government would eventually lower productivity and by doing so consumption to a point where we feel the danger has passed.
    But human in power has proven over and over that they cannot handle great power indefinitely without getting affected by its different form of temptation. Because of this thing would eventually go back to how things are right now even if in a slightly different form.

    Secondly the book has actually explained this nicely but I will do so in my own words. Forcibly imposing strong pressure in an attempt to control the population behavior, be it from own pursuit of wealth or curbing their own unnecessary consumption as was said in this article, could easily devolve into revolt that could very well stop the current governmental system from working or even destroy it completely bringing the future to what this book refer as(barbarism).

    To analyze what you are proposing in a different way. Giving the government strong power in a few words means consolidating the power in one place. And in any given system having a single point of failure is a very bad thing. Considering that the general human is very much prone to making mistake I find this to be a rather bad idea. On the other hand a smaller community who share the power equally can easily stop a mistake from even happening or more easily change direction when mistake becomes apparent.

    Also I would argue that it is rather optimistic to think that a few elite in power would be more able to control and solve problem in region/places they are not currently living or in direct contact with. In contrast to the very group of local who lives in the area and see the need and problem of said area.

    A strong government only feels like another attempt to streamline and render more efficient a system but this one is directed at human very way of life. And if you have worked in any company trying to streamline itself you already know that it is not going to make your life any better.

    But as was said in the book I also believe that we do need a government. For me this government would be present to keep an eye on the global picture and help give direction (just to be clear I’m not saying that leaders would give orders to the people but they would sound the masses to know what direction we want to go as a planet).

    As far as the overpopulation problem goes I feel like there is really little that can be said about it. It’s there and everyone should as much as possible recognize this. While this could/should be made apparent to everyone, the best that I feel should be done is to make a comprehensible guideline as to what we should strive for in the coming future with concrete information on the impact it would have to succeed in “bending the demographic curve more rapidly downward and work toward fewer people globally” and the impact it would have if we don’t.

    On a final note I do agree with the article that, while I do not know if the new revelation about Marx is very likely to be true or not, it felt unnecessary. I didn’t understand the author need, no matter how plausible it sounds, to prove that this way of thinking was championed by Marx by the end of his life. As you said the idea was well enough presented and it stands strongly on its own.

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