TOP researchers Philip Cafaro and Patricia Derer have developed new population projections for all 28 EU member states and for the EU as a whole. Read our newly-published paper “Policy-based Population Projections for the European Union: A Complementary Approach,” in the journal Comparative Population Studies.
Immigration policy is currently a key political issue throughout Europe, while many states pursue a range of pro-natalist fertility policies. Yet most countries have not developed population projections under different immigration and fertility scenarios that illuminate the long-term demographic implications of these policies. We sought to remedy this by developing new population projections to 2100 for EU nations under varied immigration and fertility scenarios corresponding to actual policy choices.
TOP provides population projections under nine different fertility and migration scenarios (and their varied combinations) for every country in the EU out to 2100, in order to illuminate policy choices and their demographic consequences.
Click below on the countries you are interested in, to see how current future policy choices will help create the demographic realities of tomorrow: